Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 North Texas 100.0%   13   18 - 11 14 - 4 18 - 11 14 - 4 +6.2      +5.6 43 +0.6 153 59.2 350 +4.9 102 +7.5 1
88 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   20 - 8 13 - 5 20 - 8 13 - 5 +6.0      +3.9 70 +2.1 110 65.6 263 +5.8 89 +5.7 3
111 Western Kentucky 0.0%   19 - 10 13 - 5 19 - 10 13 - 5 +4.0      +4.3 63 -0.2 187 68.8 178 +4.8 104 +6.2 2
142 Marshall 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 8 16 - 15 10 - 8 +1.6      -0.6 197 +2.2 107 83.9 3 +0.5 162 +1.3 5
150 Florida International 0.0%   16 - 13 9 - 9 16 - 13 9 - 9 +1.2      +1.1 156 +0.1 173 77.7 30 +1.0 152 +0.7 6
168 Old Dominion 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 9 13 - 19 9 - 9 +0.2      -2.7 246 +2.9 87 65.3 270 -2.4 208 -0.3 8
171 Charlotte 0.0%   16 - 13 10 - 8 16 - 13 10 - 8 -0.1      -2.7 249 +2.6 94 63.6 307 +0.9 154 +2.4 4
176 UAB 0.0%   17 - 13 9 - 9 17 - 13 9 - 9 -0.5      -0.9 207 +0.4 160 63.8 306 +0.4 166 -0.3 7
183 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -0.8      -1.7 223 +0.9 145 69.4 163 -1.0 188 -1.4 9
188 UTEP 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -1.2      -3.8 267 +2.6 96 67.1 235 -0.6 181 -2.4 10
203 Rice 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 11 13 - 17 7 - 11 -2.2      +2.2 113 -4.4 301 73.1 72 -2.3 205 -3.4 12
207 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 10 - 19 7 - 11 -2.4      +1.2 150 -3.6 284 78.5 24 -3.9 230 -2.6 11
267 Southern Miss 0.0%   6 - 22 5 - 13 6 - 22 5 - 13 -6.0      -5.3 308 -0.7 201 66.3 252 -6.7 277 -6.1 13
281 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 14 5 - 23 4 - 14 -6.7      -3.1 255 -3.6 285 71.7 100 -8.2 298 -7.8 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
North Texas 1.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 2.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Marshall 4.0 100.0
Florida International 6.0 100.0
Old Dominion 6.0 100.0
Charlotte 4.0 100.0
UAB 6.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 9.0 100.0
UTEP 9.0 100.0
Rice 11.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 11.0 100.0
Southern Miss 13.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
North Texas 14 - 0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 13 - 1 100.0
Western Kentucky 13 - 1 100.0
Marshall 10 - 4 100.0
Florida International 9 - 5 100.0
Old Dominion 9 - 5 100.0
Charlotte 10 - 4 100.0
UAB 9 - 5 100.0
Florida Atlantic 8 - 6 100.0
UTEP 8 - 6 100.0
Rice 7 - 7 100.0
Texas San Antonio 7 - 7 100.0
Southern Miss 5 - 9 100.0
Middle Tennessee 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Texas 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky
Marshall
Florida International
Old Dominion
Charlotte
UAB
Florida Atlantic
UTEP
Rice
Texas San Antonio
Southern Miss
Middle Tennessee


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Texas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   12.2 53.2 33.0 1.6
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 20.4% 5.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 20.4% 0.2 79.6 20.4
Sweet Sixteen 5.8% 0.1 94.2 5.8
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0